The article I read is titled "A framework for using niche models to estimate impacts of climate change on species distributions." The article discusses predicting the geographic distributions of species with the creation of niche models and other popular niche theories. For predicting distribution aa two step process is necessary 1) a model that is applied to sustainability along with a projection of "future predictions" and 2) some type of demographic simulation that estimates a species' continued future. The author discusses some of the challenges with estimating species distributions. He predicts land use, biotic interactions, along with climate change will have a profound impact on both dispersal and demographic simulations used to predict these. It was an interesting article to read. I never really thought about how how challenging it may be predicting a species' geographic distribution patterns in the future and how important it actually is.
